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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance

Bank Earnings Setup: JPM, USB, WFC, BAC & Citi
Most of the banks in our surveillance group are down between 10% and 30% so far this year, but none of these are particularly cheap as yet
R. Christopher Whalen
Jun 29, 20228 min read
575 views

Update: US Banks Post-QE
Even as the FOMC raises interest rates, we caution our readers to be prepared for disappointment from banks near term
R. Christopher Whalen
Jun 15, 20225 min read
410 views


The IRA Bank Book | Outlook Q2 2022
The sharp rise in bank stocks in 2021 coincided with a surge in operating income due to COVID. Now we reverse that trend in 2022...
R. Christopher Whalen
May 29, 20222 min read
402 views


Interest Rates, Credit and MSRs
Even as Powell signals willingness to take interest rate targets higher, he has put off a decision on the Fed's balance sheet until June.
R. Christopher Whalen
May 4, 20225 min read
498 views


Weak Bank Earnings & Surging Interest Rates = Lower Valuations
Will Fed Chairman Jay Powell fold in terms of further rate hikes if the S&P 500 falls 1,000 points in a day?
R. Christopher Whalen
Apr 11, 20225 min read
493 views

Top Five US Banks: USB, JPM, WFC, C & BAC
Valuations for the top five US banks are up slightly as Q1 2022 comes to an end
R. Christopher Whalen
Mar 28, 20226 min read
401 views

Profile: Citigroup (C)
Why does this bank exist? What market does it serve and how will it grow in the future?
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 27, 20226 min read
276 views

Q4 Earnings | Big Banks & QE
In the short-run rising interest rates and spreads will help bank earnings. But where is the next credit hot spot?
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 12, 20228 min read
671 views

Mortgage Crises Yesterday and Today
As we move into Q4 2021 earnings, keep your eyes peeled for news of restructuring of urban commercial commercial and multifamily properties
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 4, 20226 min read
789 views

The IRA Bank Book | Q3 2021
In the Q3 2021 edition of The IRA Bank Book, we document the slow destruction of US bank asset and equity returns by the FOMC.
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 20, 202111 min read
365 views


The IRA Top Ten Financials
Which US financial will best weather the coming equity market correction?
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 9, 20216 min read
390 views

Profile: PNC v U.S. Bancorp v Truist Financial
U.S. Bancorp, PNC and Truist Financial hold great value creation potential. But which is likely to realize this potential?
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 27, 20219 min read
412 views

Profile: Bank of America (BAC)
BAC is the worst performing bank in the top-five US commercial banks and often underperforms the average for Peer Group 1.
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 23, 20215 min read
321 views

Profile: NYCB + Flagstar Bancorp
The combination of New York Community Bank and Flagstar creates an $85 billion bank with a national mortgage business
R. Christopher Whalen
May 4, 20216 min read
549 views

Forbearance, Shrinking NIM & Prepayments Menace US Financials
Simply stated, US banks are twice as expensive as they were a year ago looking at earnings and assets....
R. Christopher Whalen
Apr 12, 20216 min read
889 views


Update: Commercial, Residential Loans & MSRs
We continue to believe that issuers and funds should be accumulating conventional servicing. Rates bottomed in February...
R. Christopher Whalen
Apr 5, 202113 min read
419 views

Update: Q1 2021 Bank Earnings
US banks are running at income levels that are less than half of a year ago...
R. Christopher Whalen
Mar 25, 20217 min read
316 views

Profile: Bank OZK -- It's All About the NIM
Significantly, OZK predicts shrinking CRE loan volumes in 2021....
R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 3, 20216 min read
456 views


Update: Commercial & Residential Real Estate, MSRs
Most of midtown Manhattan’s offices and other structures are unused. Commuter volumes are 10% of pre-COVID levels.
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 29, 20218 min read
794 views

Q4 Earnings Update: JPM, Citi & WFC
Unless the FOMC relents and eases up on its massive purchases of Treasury securities and MBS, bank earnings are likely to decline further
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 17, 20215 min read
301 views
Christopher Whalen
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