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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 18, 20247 min read
Update: Has Jane Fraser Redeemed Citigroup? Nope.
Citi seems to be tracking the group now, whereas pre-COVID the stock significantly underperformed in terms of market beta. But performance?
536 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 1, 20248 min read
Fed Duration Trap Threatens Banks, SOMA
It’s time for the Fed to get smart on duration risk before circumstances create another money market crisis.Â
1,078 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 16, 20246 min read
Should TD Bank Rethink US Retail?
WFC is not even out of dodge yet, but TD has cut off the fingers of one hand in yakuza style and is now headed for years of misery
633 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 14, 20245 min read
Will Rohit Chopra Kill Basel III? Shrinking NIM at JPM and WFC
In opposing Basel III, Chopra is doing the bidding of Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)Â but big banks are very happy to have no rule at all.
642 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 9, 20247 min read
Citigroup + (Cenlar - Black Knight) = ?
The Citi decision to exit mortgage servicing perhaps made sense in 2017, but today not so much.
415 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 21, 20247 min read
New & Old Names in Nonbank Finance
In dollar terms, the moves in 2023 were tiny vs the post March rally in 2020.
478 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 18, 20249 min read
The Top Seven Banks: JPM, BAC, C, WFC, USB, PNC & TFC
Banks lose money every single day by holding onto a below market security from the 2019-2021 period.
692 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 27, 20248 min read
Update: New York Community Bank & Mr. Cooper
Joe Otting does not seem to understand the value of the Flagstar correspondent lending and mortgage servicing business...
629 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 1, 20248 min read
USSC Kills Chevron | Zombie Banks Pass Stress Tests?
The Fed bank stress tests are another sign of magical thinking in Washington.
914 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Jun 23, 20249 min read
Q2 2024 Earnings Setup: JPM, BAC, WFC, C, USB, PNC, TFC
Citigroup leads the pack with a net loss rate of 133 basis points (bp) that is almost five times the average for Peer Group 1 at 27 bp.
1,437 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Jun 17, 20246 min read
Update: BMO + Bank of the West = ?
BMO arguably has the weakest reserve position among the large Canadian banks....
986 views
R. Christopher Whalen
May 15, 20247 min read
The Bull Case for Large Banks
Big banks have big CRE exposures, too. So what drives this marvelous progression up the wall of worry?
563 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 4, 202410 min read
Assume Loss Given Default > 100% | PennyMac & Western Alliance Bank
Q: What do Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic Bank, Signature Bank and New York Community Bank have in common? Auditor, KPMG.
2,611 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 22, 20245 min read
Update: U.S. Bancorp
Net interest income at USB was down again for the fourth consecutive quarter, confirming a trend across the banking industry
546 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 18, 20247 min read
Banks Slow Walk Commercial Real Estate Losses
As reflected in the valuations for JPM, WFC and BXMT, institutional investors are still not that concerned about commercial real est losses
770 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 11, 20245 min read
Bank Earnings Setup Q4 2023
Look for falling rates sooner rather than later as the Fed and other agencies prepare to resolve more bank failures in 2024.
619 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 31, 20237 min read
End of Fintech? Biden GSE Release?
Is AFRM maturing from a hot new fintech entrant to a familiar face headed for a bank license?? Yikes.
1,537 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 21, 20237 min read
Update: Citigroup Fights for Credibility
Citigroup picked up almost 10 points of book value since the end of Q3 2023.
614 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 8, 20235 min read
Update: Bank of America
If you conduct a fire sale analysis of BAC's balance sheet as of Q3 2023, the result more than wipes out the bank's tangible equity
1,099 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 19, 20236 min read
Are Bank Stocks Undervalued? Which Ones & Why
Large universal banks that ply the capital markets and use essentially infinite leverage in the derivatives markets face challenges
1,030 views
Christopher Whalen
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