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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance


Kamikaze GSE Release? Oh Yeah...
Yes, that's right, we are going to downgrade $8 trillion in GSE MBS and hundreds of billions in corporate debt.
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 10, 202415 min read
3,401 views

Update: Our Top Five Ideas
How will the sudden shift in Fed policy impact financials? Are we headed for a recession?
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 24, 20246 min read
654 views

GSE Release Under Trump? Post-Rate Cut Margin Calls??
Why should a private Fannie Mae be a 20% risk weight under Basel III, but PFSI or Mr. Cooper (COOP) are 100%?
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 22, 20248 min read
486 views

Recession? Consumer Lenders: AX, AXP, ALLY, Barclays, COF, SOFI, SYF
Axos continues to rebound after the bear raid by Hindenburg Research. AX ranked 18th in the WGA Bank Top Index in Q3 2024 vs 98th for SOFI
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 2, 202412 min read
722 views


Market Volatility and Loan Defaults
The market tantrum which began on Friday was largely over by the market close on the following Tuesday.
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 8, 20246 min read
1,192 views

Update: CapitalOne Financial & PennyMac Financial Services
Of note, PFSI has been growing share in wholesale, a direct challenge to UWMC
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 25, 20245 min read
341 views


Freddie Mac Buying HELOCs? Really Meredith? | UWMC & Disappearing MSRs
We think Whitney’s comments about a surge in new lending from Freddie Mac buying home equity loans are poorly considered
R. Christopher Whalen
May 10, 202410 min read
3,657 views


Portfolio Update & Mortgage Survivors
The survivors in mortgage finance optimize operations around purchasing loans from brokers/ correspondents, and direct to consumer (DTC)
R. Christopher Whalen
May 8, 20246 min read
475 views


Vanguard & Black Rock Control JP Morgan? | PNC & United Wholesale Mortgage
BK and Vanguard are above the 4.9% legal limit on ownership of voting shares of a bank. This fact gives the FDIC et al the power...
R. Christopher Whalen
Apr 4, 20247 min read
934 views


Update: UWMC & Rocket; Rate Cut Dreams Fade
Industry leaders believe that the FHFA wants the GSEs to offer issuers "repurchase insurance" to the tune of 25bps per loan.
R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 29, 20247 min read
587 views

Update: PennyMac Financial Services
If we are marking balance sheet assets to actual market in the age of deflation, what of the heavily modeled world of servicing assets?
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 1, 20236 min read
511 views


Mortgage Lenders Face Return of a Purchase Market
The “winners” in the mortgage sector will be those larger players with equally large servicing books that can access bank funding
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 8, 20237 min read
904 views


RKT Sinks, UWMC Wobbles, RITM Treads Water & Goldman Doubles Down
GS is a securities dealer first and foremost and has no comparative advantage as a bank.
R. Christopher Whalen
Mar 2, 20236 min read
900 views


Interview: Mike Patterson, Freedom Mortgage
In this issue of The Institutional Risk Analyst, we speak to Mike Patterson, COO of Freedom Mortgage.
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 19, 20239 min read
960 views


The Year That Was: 2022
Many in the Buy Side chorus are looking forward to lower interest rates, but we are concerned that next year could really be about solvency
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 16, 20226 min read
627 views

Record Losses for Mortgage Banks Presage Tough Year Ahead
Is 2023 the year of the Return of the Distressed Loan Trade?
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 19, 20221 min read
543 views

TIAA Sells Everbank; Mortgage Earnings Wrap
The big news this week starts with the poor showing by Rocket Companies (RKT), reporting a loss for Q3 2022 and a big decline in volumes.
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 4, 20225 min read
311 views

Update: Mr. Cooper Group
We agree with the assessment by Leon Cooperman of COOP management that this firm is one of the best positioned IMBs in the industry...
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 27, 20225 min read
353 views


Interest Rates and Residential Mortgage REITs
We see an at least equal chance that margins will get squeezed for agency and MSR investors before they expand via higher interest rates
R. Christopher Whalen
Jun 9, 20228 min read
617 views

Memo to Gary Gensler: Beware the “Non-Controlling Interest”
As a result of the adoption of "artificial intelligence," the 21st Century investor is mostly a victim in waiting.
R. Christopher Whalen
Jun 6, 20226 min read
1,290 views
Christopher Whalen
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