R. Christopher WhalenOct 16 min readThe Bull Case for Large BanksIf you believe that there is no recession coming in 2025, what is the logical response from an informed investment professional?
R. Christopher WhalenOct 26, 20239 min readInterest Rates, Fintech & MSRsRegulatory skepticism about mortgage assets could effect financing rates for lenders, which means higher mortgage rates for consumers.
R. Christopher WhalenSep 27, 20239 min readSoftBank as Systemic Event; Update: Charles Schwab & CoThe public behavior and decision-making processes of SoftBank suggest that the organization is in trouble.
R. Christopher WhalenAug 23, 20236 min readUpdate: Goldman Sachs + Citigroup; Interest Rates Higher Longer? We continue to believe that combining Citi and GS may make sense in terms of consolidating two capital markets businesses
R. Christopher WhalenMay 10, 20238 min readIs USA still a "AAA" Credit? Really? Update: Rithm CapitalWhen interest rates eventually fall those late vintage mortgage loans with 6% coupons will evaporate like spring snow in the sunshine
R. Christopher WhalenMar 6, 20238 min readAtlas Stumbles, Silvergate Wallows; 360 Mortgage v. Fortress (and RITM) Are nonbank mortgage firms a risk to Ginnie Mae? Or is it really the other way around?
R. Christopher WhalenFeb 9, 20237 min readMortgage Wrap; PennyMac Financial, Rithm Capital & MSRsWe suspect that the IMBs will be sellers of conventional assets to defend their Ginnie Mae MSRs. Banks may be buyers of conventional assets
R. Christopher WhalenJun 22, 20225 min readNew Residential Pivots, Gets "Rithm" NRZ must pay $400 million to Fortress to end the relationship with the external manager, a final act of squeezing NRZ shareholders
R. Christopher WhalenMay 18, 20226 min readUpdate: Crypto Frauds and Fintech DreamsQ: What do Elon Musk and Masayoshi Son have in common? Gigantic margin loans...
R. Christopher WhalenApr 4, 20222 min readThe Residential Mortgage Finance Top Twenty SevenWho is going to acquire and restructure Blend Labs (BLND) before this newbie-fintech-something runs out of cash?
R. Christopher WhalenNov 3, 20217 min readUpdate: New Residential Investment, Fortress & SoftbankThe good news is that NRZ is growing and making strides in terms of asset creation and, especially, asset retention.
R. Christopher WhalenMar 15, 20215 min readGreensill, Wirecard, Deutsche Bank & the Rising Tide of Financial Fraud“Time to turn on the lights and find the rest of the cockroaches”