The Institutional Risk Analyst

We think it is reasonable to push expectations of a cut in the target for Fed funds into Q1 2025. 

Citi is a subprime lender. They should be directly involved in government lending.

Big banks have big CRE exposures, too. So what drives this marvelous progression up the wall of worry?

Our Bank Top 10 and Top 25 indices continue to outperform the industry benchmarks, but the broader samples show growing financial stress

The yield on BAC's $320 billion commercial and industrial (C&I) book was just 5.4% or more than 150bp below peer at year-end 2023.

McCargo's actions and the fact that the case has not been dismissed in its entirety is very unhelpful given current market conditions.

BAC is in big trouble, not due to credit but because of sub-par asset returns. BAC’s return on assets has fallen to just 0.8% in Q1 2024

The fixation with the idea of resolving large zombie banks without public expense is evidence of our collective delusion. 

You take the GSEs out of conservatorship, the big banks led by JPMorgan and U.S. Bancorp will own the conventional loan market

Only in the strange confines of Washington do you still find people who think that the federal budget deficit is not a problem.

BK and Vanguard are above the 4.9% legal limit on ownership of voting shares of a bank. This fact gives the FDIC et al the power...

We see higher credit costs, narrowing NIM and still rising funding costs squeezing the banking industry in Q1 2024...

If Mr. Otting et al do try to execute a community bank redux in the New York market, then we'd be inclined to exit the stock.

So what makes the WGA Bank Top 10 unique? Below we provide some quantitative and qualitative comments on each of the ten best US banks

FDIC Chairman Gruenberg ought to tell New York State to take over the rent controlled loans from Signature, NYCB and other lenders...

Not all banks or companies are the same and not all follow the herd.

Elizabeth Warren and progressives in Congress should support COF's purchase of Discover as a way to compete with monopoly JPMorgan

If President Trump starts talking about fixing the federal budget deficit and redeveloping moribund urban real estate, he’d win in November

We think that the whole banking industry could be driven into multiple periods of loss as they divert income to loss provisions. 

Q: What do Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic Bank, Signature Bank and New York Community Bank have in common? Auditor, KPMG.