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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance
R. Christopher Whalen
6 days ago6 min read
GSE Release? Really. What Do JPM and BAC Say About 2025 Earnings?
Without profits from commissions and capital markets, BAC would have reported a down quarter due to higher funding and operating expenses.
344 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 28 min read
Critiquing Bill Ackman Statement on GSE Release
Cute reference to "average cost," but total return to date would be of greater interest.
2,215 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 30, 20248 min read
Update: Top Bank Asset Managers
As and when GS can exit the loss leading credit card relationship with AAPL, the performance of the business should improve significantly.
222 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 18, 20247 min read
Update: Has Jane Fraser Redeemed Citigroup? Nope.
Citi seems to be tracking the group now, whereas pre-COVID the stock significantly underperformed in terms of market beta. But performance?
536 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 12, 20247 min read
Liquidity Preference: SVB Financial Group, WaMu & Reemerging GSEs
Selling the Treasury's control position in the GSEs while dragging the furious shareholders along behind is not an attractive opportunity
481 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 10, 202415 min read
Kamikaze GSE Release? Oh Yeah...
Yes, that's right, we are going to downgrade $8 trillion in GSE MBS and hundreds of billions in corporate debt.
3,222 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 9, 20249 min read
WGA Bank Top 10 Index | Time to Short Financials?
When SCHW surpassed U.S. Bancorp in size in 2021, you knew that SCHW’s leadership had gotten lost.Â
473 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 11, 20245 min read
Q: Is JPMorgan Overinflated?
The banking industry has segmented into a handful of above-average performers and JPM is the largest leader of these "winners"
1,369 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 1, 20248 min read
Fed Duration Trap Threatens Banks, SOMA
It’s time for the Fed to get smart on duration risk before circumstances create another money market crisis.Â
1,078 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 23, 20247 min read
Powell Overshoots the Runway; Update: American Express & Charles Schwab
Last year, when a lot of people were predicting the demise of SCHW, we told our readers to calm down.
705 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 18, 20247 min read
Update: Citigroup, Bank America and Goldman Sachs
How is Goldman going to extricate itself from this profoundly unattractive business with AAPL without destroying Apple Card?
455 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 16, 20246 min read
Should TD Bank Rethink US Retail?
WFC is not even out of dodge yet, but TD has cut off the fingers of one hand in yakuza style and is now headed for years of misery
633 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 14, 20245 min read
Will Rohit Chopra Kill Basel III? Shrinking NIM at JPM and WFC
In opposing Basel III, Chopra is doing the bidding of Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)Â but big banks are very happy to have no rule at all.
642 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 9, 20247 min read
Citigroup + (Cenlar - Black Knight) = ?
The Citi decision to exit mortgage servicing perhaps made sense in 2017, but today not so much.
415 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 1, 20246 min read
The Bull Case for Large Banks
If you believe that there is no recession coming in 2025, what is the logical response from an informed investment professional?
605 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 22, 20248 min read
GSE Release Under Trump? Post-Rate Cut Margin Calls??
Why should a private Fannie Mae be a 20% risk weight under Basel III, but PFSI or Mr. Cooper (COOP) are 100%?
486 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 16, 20242 min read
IRA Bank Book Q3 2024 Industry Survey
The Q3 interest rate rally still leaves the industry with a negative
capital position since the average securities yield is only 3%
368 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 11, 20245 min read
WGA Bank Top 100+ | Large Banks Retreat, Small Banks Rise
The big story nobody is discussing is the fact that large banks led by JPM, BAC and TFC continue to sell off briskly
425 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 4, 20245 min read
Banks: Passive Strategies Lag Active Management
In the third quarter of publishing the Indices, so far picking quality banks seems to matter more than following the passive ETF herd
468 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 25, 20247 min read
Universal Banks: Should TD Buy Schwab & Sell Its US Operation?
SCHW needs to take advantage of their strong operating leverage and repair some needless damage done during COVID by inept bank management.
721 views
Christopher Whalen
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