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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance

HOOD: Is the Bloom off the Rose?
And just why do financial firms like HOOD, SoFi Technologies (SOFI)Â and Block (XYZ)Â talk about EBITDA in their investor materials?
R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 134 min read
258 views

Is Ameriprise Overvalued? Is PennyMac Cheap vs the REITs?
We think it is notable that AMP has underperformed the other members of the group other than SCHW over the past year.
R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 37 min read
175 views

WGA Bank Top 100 Index | Q1 2025
GS had not appeared in the top 25 since we began the indices a year ago, while MS had made it three times.
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 294 min read
183 views


Big Losses in Commercial Real Estate & PE in 2025?
Private equity portfolio companies are about 10 times as likely to go bankrupt as non-PE-owned companies.
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 136 min read
1,118 views

Taxing Crypto? And Just Where Is That Consumer Recession?
Yes, net loss rates in percentage terms post default are back up to 2010 levels, but the dollar volume of net charge-offs remains very low.
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 58 min read
412 views

Update: Top Bank Asset Managers
As and when GS can exit the loss leading credit card relationship with AAPL, the performance of the business should improve significantly.
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 30, 20248 min read
230 views


Liquidity & Rates Fall as Trump Trades Beckon
What does the upsurge in repo rates at the end of September suggest? None of the media who supposedly cover the Fed seem able to ask.
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 23, 20247 min read
448 views


Q: Is JPMorgan Overinflated?
The banking industry has segmented into a handful of above-average performers and JPM is the largest leader of these "winners"
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 11, 20245 min read
1,377 views

Update: Citigroup, Bank America and Goldman Sachs
How is Goldman going to extricate itself from this profoundly unattractive business with AAPL without destroying Apple Card?
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 18, 20247 min read
456 views

IRA Bank Book Q3 2024 Industry Survey
The Q3 interest rate rally still leaves the industry with a negative
capital position since the average securities yield is only 3%
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 16, 20242 min read
369 views

WGA Bank Top 100+ | Large Banks Retreat, Small Banks Rise
The big story nobody is discussing is the fact that large banks led by JPM, BAC and TFC continue to sell off briskly
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 11, 20245 min read
425 views

Universal Banks: Should TD Buy Schwab & Sell Its US Operation?
SCHW needs to take advantage of their strong operating leverage and repair some needless damage done during COVID by inept bank management.
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 25, 20247 min read
725 views

Bank of Nova Scotia + KeyCorp = ??
If you were really, REALLY going to do mortgage warehouse lending in today's market, KEY would be the better platform, not BNS.
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 13, 20246 min read
548 views


Bank Earnings: JPM, BAC, AX, GS & SCHW
GS saw loss provisions fall slightly in Q2 2024 to $282 million but the number was still $600 million in the first half of the year...
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 17, 20245 min read
479 views


Goldman Sachs Fails Fed Stress Test
Notice that the Fed stress test is silent on trillions of dollars in mark-to-market losses facing US banks from COVID-era securities
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 7, 202410 min read
3,181 views


Who Leads the Asset Gatherers? | SCHW, MS, GS, AMP, RJF & SF
The larger banks led the way in January and February, but today the top 25 names in terms of total return include many smaller banks.
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 3, 20247 min read
603 views


Interest Rates, Deficits & Inflation
We think it is reasonable to push expectations of a cut in the target for Fed funds into Q1 2025.Â
R. Christopher Whalen
May 24, 20246 min read
817 views


Does Kathy Hochul Have a New York Community Bank Endgame?
FDIC Chairman Gruenberg ought to tell New York State to take over the rent controlled loans from Signature, NYCB and other lenders...
R. Christopher Whalen
Mar 6, 20247 min read
2,016 views
1 comment


Interview: Bill Kennedy of RiskBridge Advisors
Volatility remains perhaps the biggest risk factor today, mostly because of a lack of visibility on unexpected risks.
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 24, 20249 min read
803 views

Update: Flying Fintechs & Zombie Banks
COIN has been helped by a groundswell of positive comment about crypto in 2023...
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 29, 20236 min read
660 views
Christopher Whalen
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