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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance


Assume Loss Given Default > 100% | PennyMac & Western Alliance Bank
Q: What do Silicon Valley Bank, First Republic Bank, Signature Bank and New York Community Bank have in common? Auditor, KPMG.

R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 4, 202410 min read
2,618 views


Housing Finance Outlook Q4 2023
Baring some emergency, the Fed seems on track to keep interest rates at current levels indefintely.

R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 14, 20233 min read
561 views


ACH: The Bank Deposit Ain't in the Mail
Was the breakdown of the normally stable and, indeed, routine workings of the Clearinghouse the result of bad actors?

R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 6, 20234 min read
1,196 views


Update: PennyMac Financial Services
If we are marking balance sheet assets to actual market in the age of deflation, what of the heavily modeled world of servicing assets?

R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 1, 20236 min read
512 views


Interest Rates, Fintech & MSRs
Regulatory skepticism about mortgage assets could effect financing rates for lenders, which means higher mortgage rates for consumers.

R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 26, 20239 min read
529 views


Washington Trip Notes; Mr. Cooper & PennyMac Financial
The last Treasury Secretary that tried to extend the maturities of US government debt was Jack Lew (2013-2017). Yellen missed an opportunity

R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 28, 20235 min read
658 views


Update: Mr. Cooper & PennyMac Financial
Both PFSI and COOP are navigating the current market well, but we have questions about where the former is headed.

R. Christopher Whalen
Apr 30, 20236 min read
1,347 views


Update: Charles Schwab (SCHW); Sagent Presentation
Most major banks grew larger during quantitative easing. Now many of these banks will shrink in terms of assets and also earnings in Q1 2023

R. Christopher Whalen
Apr 3, 20236 min read
4,369 views


Update: Credit Suisse (CS) & PennyMac Financial (PFSI)
Like COOP, volumes are down dramatically from 2021 but MSR values and cash flows from servicing are rising

R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 28, 20227 min read
962 views


Update: Mr. Cooper (COOP)
Despite the outlook for the industry, COOP continues to be one of the better performing names in our mortgage surveillance group.

R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 26, 20224 min read
297 views


The Bear Case for Ginnie Mae Issuers
The nightmare scenario in the government loan market is that FHA loan delinquency rises to the point where issuers become insolvent

R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 22, 20228 min read
732 views


Interview: David Stevens on GNMA Capital Rule & ICE + BKI
The entire mortgage industry will have a single point of failure with the ICE/BKI combination

R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 12, 20228 min read
1,839 views


Update: Guild Mortgage & Block Inc.
Since Block has not yet changed its ticker symbol, perhaps Mr. Dorsey will eventually change the company's name back to Square...

R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 7, 20227 min read
359 views


Update: Mr. Cooper Group
We agree with the assessment by Leon Cooperman of COOP management that this firm is one of the best positioned IMBs in the industry...

R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 27, 20225 min read
353 views


Bank Earnings Setup: JPM, USB, WFC, BAC & Citi
Most of the banks in our surveillance group are down between 10% and 30% so far this year, but none of these are particularly cheap as yet

R. Christopher Whalen
Jun 29, 20228 min read
575 views


Does ICE + Black Knight = Shareholder Value?
ICE buying the revenue streams represented by BKI is a big bet on yesterday, not a bold initiative to change the mortgage industry

R. Christopher Whalen
May 11, 20228 min read
465 views


Interest Rates, Credit and MSRs
Even as Powell signals willingness to take interest rate targets higher, he has put off a decision on the Fed's balance sheet until June.

R. Christopher Whalen
May 4, 20225 min read
507 views


Update: New Residential Investment, Fortress & Softbank
The good news is that NRZ is growing and making strides in terms of asset creation and, especially, asset retention.

R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 3, 20217 min read
888 views


Cenlar FSB, COOP, BLND and the Great MSR Migration
Risk to investors in the market for residential mortgages is rising and from multiple sources

R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 28, 20214 min read
455 views


Update: Mr. Cooper & New Residential Investment
The big surge in income and net worth caused by the FOMC last year is rapidly ending. Winter has returned to mortgage land...

R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 9, 20215 min read
588 views
Christopher Whalen
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