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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance


Trump to Fire Jay Powell? No. Bank Earnings? Nada. Bayview for Sale?
President Trump will not try to fire Chairman Powell. Why not? First, because Powell cannot be removed save for malfeasance. Second, because firing Powell would seriously piss off Senate Republicans, killing Trump's hopes for tax legislation this year.

R. Christopher Whalen
5 days ago6 min read
872 views


Rocket + Redfin + Mr. Cooper = First in Class
COOP and RKT, plus RDFN, creates an integrated business of realty, lending, servicing and asset management that is impressive

R. Christopher Whalen
Apr 15 min read
364 views


Is Ameriprise Overvalued? Is PennyMac Cheap vs the REITs?
We think it is notable that AMP has underperformed the other members of the group other than SCHW over the past year.

R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 37 min read
178 views


Residential Mortgage Finance 2025
The majority of the actual cash profit generated from residential lending is found in the mortgage servicing rights (MSRs).

R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 2012 min read
389 views


Liquidity Preference: SVB Financial Group, WaMu & Reemerging GSEs
Selling the Treasury's control position in the GSEs while dragging the furious shareholders along behind is not an attractive opportunity

R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 12, 20247 min read
496 views


Kamikaze GSE Release? Oh Yeah...
Yes, that's right, we are going to downgrade $8 trillion in GSE MBS and hundreds of billions in corporate debt.

R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 10, 202415 min read
3,438 views


Update: Blend Labs Inc.
BLND is generating operating leverage via cost reductions, another way of saying that management is slowly winding up the business.

R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 5, 20244 min read
350 views


Update: Block Inc, Nu Holdings & Guild Holdings
Notice that SQ co-founder Jack Dorsey styles himself as "block head" in the corp roster, a silly affectation that does not help the stock

R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 15, 20247 min read
415 views


Is Trump Bullish for Interest Rates? Pump & Dump for GSE and Fintech Stocks
You can tell lies and damn lies about the idea of releasing Fannie and Freddie, but the SEC and FINRA cannot and will not say a word.Â

R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 30, 20246 min read
812 views


Housing Finance Outlook; PennyMac, Mr. Cooper & NYCB/Flagstar
NYCB and the unsold rent-stabilized assets left over from the failure of SBNY are two little surprises waiting for the next POTUS.

R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 28, 20249 min read
748 views


Citigroup + (Cenlar - Black Knight) = ?
The Citi decision to exit mortgage servicing perhaps made sense in 2017, but today not so much.

R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 9, 20247 min read
417 views


Yellen's FSOC: Housing Policy Dreams vs Mortgage Market Reality
Yellen's proposal for a backstop is merely a canard to help Treasury avoid another fiasco next time a Ginnie Mae issuer fails

R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 30, 20246 min read
717 views


Update: New York Community Bank & Mr. Cooper
Joe Otting does not seem to understand the value of the Flagstar correspondent lending and mortgage servicing business...

R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 27, 20248 min read
635 views


Update: CapitalOne Financial & PennyMac Financial Services
Of note, PFSI has been growing share in wholesale, a direct challenge to UWMC

R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 25, 20245 min read
341 views


Joe Biden Goes Subprime; Should Citi Buy NYCB/Flagstar?
Citi is a subprime lender. They should be directly involved in government lending.

R. Christopher Whalen
May 20, 20246 min read
990 views


Portfolio Update & Mortgage Survivors
The survivors in mortgage finance optimize operations around purchasing loans from brokers/ correspondents, and direct to consumer (DTC)

R. Christopher Whalen
May 8, 20246 min read
475 views


Debt Deflation in CRE? PFSI, COOP & RKT
If the run-of-the-mill Republic First interest rate mark is 13.3% of assets that is not just wiping out one bank’s 8% capital but also FDIC

R. Christopher Whalen
May 5, 20249 min read
695 views


Top-Five Banks: Q1 '24 Earnings Setup
We see higher credit costs, narrowing NIM and still rising funding costs squeezing the banking industry in Q1 2024...

R. Christopher Whalen
Mar 19, 20247 min read
586 views


Update: UWMC & Rocket; Rate Cut Dreams Fade
Industry leaders believe that the FHFA wants the GSEs to offer issuers "repurchase insurance" to the tune of 25bps per loan.

R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 29, 20247 min read
597 views


Interest Rates, Mortgage Lenders & MSRs
While there are a great number of people inside the Fed who ponder the appropriate level of reserves in the system, they don't really know

R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 15, 20246 min read
650 views
Christopher Whalen
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