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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 58 min read
Taxing Crypto? And Just Where Is That Consumer Recession?
Yes, net loss rates in percentage terms post default are back up to 2010 levels, but the dollar volume of net charge-offs remains very low.
402 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 9, 20249 min read
WGA Bank Top 10 Index | Time to Short Financials?
When SCHW surpassed U.S. Bancorp in size in 2021, you knew that SCHW’s leadership had gotten lost.Â
473 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 6, 20245 min read
Financials: Post-Trump Victory Notes
The changes that are going to occur in Washington over the next four years will be dramatically different than during Trump I.
1,097 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 1, 20248 min read
Fed Duration Trap Threatens Banks, SOMA
It’s time for the Fed to get smart on duration risk before circumstances create another money market crisis.Â
1,079 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 2, 202412 min read
Recession? Consumer Lenders: AX, AXP, ALLY, Barclays, COF, SOFI, SYF
Axos continues to rebound after the bear raid by Hindenburg Research. AX ranked 18th in the WGA Bank Top Index in Q3 2024 vs 98th for SOFI
720 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 24, 20245 min read
Update: CapitalOne Financial & PennyMac Financial Services
Of note, PFSI has been growing share in wholesale, a direct challenge to UWMC
341 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 11, 20245 min read
Earnings Setup: Consumer Lenders | ALLY AXP AX BCS COF SOFI SYF
The first comment to make is that consumer defaults are rising across the board. The only question we need to consider is the rate of change
537 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 7, 202410 min read
Goldman Sachs Fails Fed Stress Test
Notice that the Fed stress test is silent on trillions of dollars in mark-to-market losses facing US banks from COVID-era securities
3,141 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Apr 11, 202410 min read
GSE Release? Really? Update: Ally Financial
You take the GSEs out of conservatorship, the big banks led by JPMorgan and U.S. Bancorp will own the conventional loan market
2,017 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 25, 20245 min read
WGA Releases Top 50 Bank Index | What's in Your ETF?
Not all banks or companies are the same and not all follow the herd.
1,139 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 21, 20244 min read
Does CapitalOne + Discover Financial = Shareholder Value?
Elizabeth Warren and progressives in Congress should support COF's purchase of Discover as a way to compete with monopoly JPMorgan
489 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 30, 20246 min read
Good, Bad & Ugly: AXP, SOFI & BAC
AXP is a premium stock that is best acquired when people think, incorrectly, that the world is ending.
861 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 29, 20248 min read
EVs Wane, Fintech Sputters & COF Dumps Commercial Mortgages
Now let’s take a look at how some members of the banking and fintech sector are doing in the first month of 2024.
808 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 21, 20237 min read
Update: Citigroup Fights for Credibility
Citigroup picked up almost 10 points of book value since the end of Q3 2023.
614 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 8, 20234 min read
Stocks, Interest Rates and Reverse RPs
Simply stated, with T-bills trading significantly above the yield on RRPs, there is no reason for MMFs to leave cash at the Fed
707 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Jun 14, 20235 min read
Update: Banks & Fintechs
With inflation fears moderating, look for Buy Side managers to buy bank stocks – even if earnings remain constrained...
784 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Jun 9, 20236 min read
Profile: Synchrony Financial
What can SYF tell us about the bleeding edge of unsecured consumer credit?
667 views
R. Christopher Whalen
May 4, 20234 min read
Banks, Interest Rates & Fed Chairs
Imagine how President Joe Biden will react if Chair Powell needs to announce formal limits on access to US bank deposits.
2,416 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 4, 20237 min read
Update: Truist, Charles Schwab, U.S. Bancorp & PNC Financial
The largest banks continue to serve as a haven for refugees from crypto fraud schemes and the fintech swoon, but are not cheap
770 views
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 20, 20225 min read
Outliers: CapitalOne, Goldman Sachs & Citigroup
Like most nonbanks (and Goldman Sachs is predominantly a nonbank), volumes are falling and funding costs are rising.
568 views
Christopher Whalen
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