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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance

Stocks, Interest Rates and Reverse RPs
Simply stated, with T-bills trading significantly above the yield on RRPs, there is no reason for MMFs to leave cash at the Fed
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 8, 20234 min read
707 views

Update: Flying Fintechs & Zombie Banks
COIN has been helped by a groundswell of positive comment about crypto in 2023...
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 29, 20236 min read
660 views

Update: Bank of America
If you conduct a fire sale analysis of BAC's balance sheet as of Q3 2023, the result more than wipes out the bank's tangible equity
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 8, 20235 min read
1,099 views

Bank Earnings Takeaways -- JPM, WFC and Citi
Bank earnings can be best described as cautiously mediocre, but as usual the Street proclaimed that three banks "beat the estimates"
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 15, 20237 min read
728 views


SoftBank as Systemic Event; Update: Charles Schwab & Co
The public behavior and decision-making processes of SoftBank suggest that the organization is in trouble.
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 27, 20239 min read
1,281 views

Bank Industry Review & Survey Q3 2023
The US banking industry has seen now two consecutive down quarters for net income caused by the Fed’s massive open market operations
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 11, 20233 min read
867 views


Winter is Coming in Bank Credit
If a bank has 6% debt to assets, what is the equity of the parent BHC worth?
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 1, 20236 min read
1,161 views


Update: Goldman Sachs + Citigroup; Interest Rates Higher Longer?
We continue to believe that combining Citi and GS may make sense in terms of consolidating two capital markets businesses
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 23, 20236 min read
635 views

Bank Earnings: JPM, WFC & Citi
JPM has an impressive lead in earnings and growth over WFC and C, neither one of which is positioned to catch up with Jamie Dimon in 2023.
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 15, 20235 min read
502 views

Top Five Banks: JPMorgan Leads the Pack
JPM is really a large mutual fund with a bank attached, as shown in the table below.
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 3, 20237 min read
822 views


PacWest Bancorp & Fed Hawks
To survive long-term, both WAL and PACW need to get that beta back down below 2 and closer to 1, but the hawks on the FOMC may not cooperate
R. Christopher Whalen
May 23, 20237 min read
2,433 views


Funding & Credit: Q1 2023 Bank Earnings Takeaways
The issue is not whether your bank is getting smaller, but whether credit expenses are being managed as funding costs inevitably rise.
R. Christopher Whalen
Apr 17, 20234 min read
1,130 views

Q1 2023 Bank Earnings: Lower for Longer | JPM USB C WFC BAC
Given that the US Treasury is paying 4% for 90-day T-bills, you can see how far banks have to go to become competitive on rates
R. Christopher Whalen
Apr 12, 20238 min read
1,032 views


Powell's Duration Trap, Banks and the US Treasury
The Fed by definition cannot make a profit and is always an expense to the Treasury, thus operating losses are a expense to the taxpayer
R. Christopher Whalen
Apr 9, 202312 min read
4,241 views


The Return of Credit Risk
Fact is, Dr. Brainard has primary culpability in the growing economic pain being felt around the country.
R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 23, 20237 min read
2,385 views

Why the FT is Wrong About Ally Financial
Ally is still more finance company than bank and really has no core deposit base worthy of the name.
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 30, 20237 min read
996 views


Update: Bank of America
We hear in the channel that regulators are making their views of future loss probabilities very clear in guidance to the top banks
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 23, 20236 min read
536 views


Update: Truist, Charles Schwab, U.S. Bancorp & PNC Financial
The largest banks continue to serve as a haven for refugees from crypto fraud schemes and the fintech swoon, but are not cheap
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 4, 20237 min read
770 views


Outliers: CapitalOne, Goldman Sachs & Citigroup
Like most nonbanks (and Goldman Sachs is predominantly a nonbank), volumes are falling and funding costs are rising.
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 20, 20225 min read
568 views

Update: U.S. Bank vs. Bank OZK; Q3 2022 Earnings Setup
How will this above-peer performer from Little Rock do in a Fed-induced recession that rivals 2008 in terms of market losses?
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 12, 20227 min read
705 views
Christopher Whalen
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