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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance
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R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 13, 20246 min read
Bank of Nova Scotia + KeyCorp = ??
If you were really, REALLY going to do mortgage warehouse lending in today's market, KEY would be the better platform, not BNS.
548 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 12, 20247 min read
The Powell Hedge Fund Drives Private Market Instability
In 2019, the FOMC essentially nationalized the US money markets, eliminating private price discovery for a representation of a market.
879 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 8, 20246 min read
Market Volatility and Loan Defaults
The market tantrum which began on Friday was largely over by the market close on the following Tuesday.
1,190 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 5, 20245 min read
Wine, Grapes & Inflation; WGA Bank Top 50 Index Q3 2024
The WGA Bank Top 50 is, well, the top half of the population, but far better in quality than the bottom quartile.
657 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 2, 20248 min read
Stocks Swoon, Retail Credit Rises: PYPL, SQ & ARES
The rotation away from institutional investors to retail funding source for the $1.7 trillion direct lending market is an ominous sign
603 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 30, 20246 min read
Yellen's FSOC: Housing Policy Dreams vs Mortgage Market Reality
Yellen's proposal for a backstop is merely a canard to help Treasury avoid another fiasco next time a Ginnie Mae issuer fails
714 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 27, 20248 min read
Update: New York Community Bank & Mr. Cooper
Joe Otting does not seem to understand the value of the Flagstar correspondent lending and mortgage servicing business...
631 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 24, 20245 min read
Update: CapitalOne Financial & PennyMac Financial Services
Of note, PFSI has been growing share in wholesale, a direct challenge to UWMC
341 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 21, 20249 min read
Will Donald Trump Release Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac?? Really?
If JPM, PFSI or UWMC want to pay the government to wrap conventional MBS in a “AA+” sovereign rating, why should the Treasury say no?
3,804 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 18, 20246 min read
Update: Pinnacle Financial & Synthetic Credit Risk Transfer
We hear in the channel that banks with festering multifamily exposures are paying north of 10% for similar CRT transactions.
812 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 17, 20245 min read
Bank Earnings: JPM, BAC, AX, GS & SCHW
GS saw loss provisions fall slightly in Q2 2024 to $282 million but the number was still $600 million in the first half of the year...
479 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 15, 20248 min read
Should the US Exit the Basel Accord in Trump II?
The Basel Accord is one of the single biggest examples of a regulatory agency literally creating a new law from whole cloth.
954 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 11, 20245 min read
Earnings Setup: Consumer Lenders | ALLY AXP AX BCS COF SOFI SYF
The first comment to make is that consumer defaults are rising across the board. The only question we need to consider is the rate of change
539 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 7, 202410 min read
Goldman Sachs Fails Fed Stress Test
Notice that the Fed stress test is silent on trillions of dollars in mark-to-market losses facing US banks from COVID-era securities
3,154 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 3, 20247 min read
Who Leads the Asset Gatherers? | SCHW, MS, GS, AMP, RJF & SF
The larger banks led the way in January and February, but today the top 25 names in terms of total return include many smaller banks.
603 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 1, 20248 min read
USSC Kills Chevron | Zombie Banks Pass Stress Tests?
The Fed bank stress tests are another sign of magical thinking in Washington.
914 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Jun 26, 20246 min read
Capital Confusion at Ginnie Mae & Mortgage Servicing Rights
Ginnie Mae would rather have issuers raise the NPV of the MSR in cash today than take the price risk of holding the whole MSR through time.
644 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Jun 23, 20249 min read
Q2 2024 Earnings Setup: JPM, BAC, WFC, C, USB, PNC, TFC
Citigroup leads the pack with a net loss rate of 133 basis points (bp) that is almost five times the average for Peer Group 1 at 27 bp.
1,439 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Jun 17, 20246 min read
Update: BMO + Bank of the West = ?
BMO arguably has the weakest reserve position among the large Canadian banks....
986 views
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R. Christopher Whalen
Jun 17, 20245 min read
Interview: Brian Barnier on the Fed and Inflation in Never Never Land
In the 1950s through maybe into the late 1990s, the FOMC could control mortgage interest rates....
548 views
Christopher Whalen
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