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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance

Update: Our Top Five Ideas
How will the sudden shift in Fed policy impact financials? Are we headed for a recession?
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 24, 20246 min read
654 views

GSE Release Under Trump? Post-Rate Cut Margin Calls??
Why should a private Fannie Mae be a 20% risk weight under Basel III, but PFSI or Mr. Cooper (COOP) are 100%?
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 22, 20248 min read
486 views


Powell FOMC Goes Big and Political
If President Donald Trump wins in November, he’ll be more than justified in demanding Jerome Powell’s immediate resignation.
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 19, 20244 min read
987 views

IRA Bank Book Q3 2024 Industry Survey
The Q3 interest rate rally still leaves the industry with a negative
capital position since the average securities yield is only 3%
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 16, 20242 min read
369 views

WGA Bank Top 100+ | Large Banks Retreat, Small Banks Rise
The big story nobody is discussing is the fact that large banks led by JPM, BAC and TFC continue to sell off briskly
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 11, 20245 min read
425 views


Powell FOMC Folds on Inflation
As the federal debt rises, bank reserves must rise as well and with it inflation.
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 9, 20249 min read
1,522 views


Banks: Passive Strategies Lag Active Management
In the third quarter of publishing the Indices, so far picking quality banks seems to matter more than following the passive ETF herd
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 4, 20245 min read
469 views

Recession? Consumer Lenders: AX, AXP, ALLY, Barclays, COF, SOFI, SYF
Axos continues to rebound after the bear raid by Hindenburg Research. AX ranked 18th in the WGA Bank Top Index in Q3 2024 vs 98th for SOFI
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 2, 202412 min read
721 views

Universal Banks: Should TD Buy Schwab & Sell Its US Operation?
SCHW needs to take advantage of their strong operating leverage and repair some needless damage done during COVID by inept bank management.
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 25, 20247 min read
725 views


New & Old Names in Nonbank Finance
In dollar terms, the moves in 2023 were tiny vs the post March rally in 2020.
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 21, 20247 min read
479 views

The Top Seven Banks: JPM, BAC, C, WFC, USB, PNC & TFC
Banks lose money every single day by holding onto a below market security from the 2019-2021 period.
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 18, 20249 min read
696 views

Bank of Nova Scotia + KeyCorp = ??
If you were really, REALLY going to do mortgage warehouse lending in today's market, KEY would be the better platform, not BNS.
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 13, 20246 min read
548 views


The Powell Hedge Fund Drives Private Market Instability
In 2019, the FOMC essentially nationalized the US money markets, eliminating private price discovery for a representation of a market.
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 12, 20247 min read
880 views


Market Volatility and Loan Defaults
The market tantrum which began on Friday was largely over by the market close on the following Tuesday.
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 8, 20246 min read
1,192 views

Wine, Grapes & Inflation; WGA Bank Top 50 Index Q3 2024
The WGA Bank Top 50 is, well, the top half of the population, but far better in quality than the bottom quartile.
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 5, 20245 min read
659 views

Stocks Swoon, Retail Credit Rises: PYPL, SQ & ARES
The rotation away from institutional investors to retail funding source for the $1.7 trillion direct lending market is an ominous sign
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 2, 20248 min read
604 views


Yellen's FSOC: Housing Policy Dreams vs Mortgage Market Reality
Yellen's proposal for a backstop is merely a canard to help Treasury avoid another fiasco next time a Ginnie Mae issuer fails
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 30, 20246 min read
716 views

Update: New York Community Bank & Mr. Cooper
Joe Otting does not seem to understand the value of the Flagstar correspondent lending and mortgage servicing business...
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 27, 20248 min read
633 views

Update: CapitalOne Financial & PennyMac Financial Services
Of note, PFSI has been growing share in wholesale, a direct challenge to UWMC
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 25, 20245 min read
341 views

Will Donald Trump Release Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac?? Really?
If JPM, PFSI or UWMC want to pay the government to wrap conventional MBS in a “AA+” sovereign rating, why should the Treasury say no?
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 21, 20249 min read
3,863 views
Christopher Whalen
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