The Institutional Risk Analyst

Indeed, if President Trump wants to be rid of Jerome Powell he can simply impeach him for violations of the Federal Reserve Act

What does the upsurge in repo rates at the end of September suggest? None of the media who supposedly cover the Fed seem able to ask.

Citi seems to be tracking the group now, whereas pre-COVID the stock significantly underperformed in terms of market beta. But performance?

WGA notes that bank stock prices have soared in the second half of 2024, with the WGA Bank Top 10 Index up 40% year-to-date in 2024.

Selling the Treasury's control position in the GSEs while dragging the furious shareholders along behind is not an attractive opportunity

Yes, that's right, we are going to downgrade $8 trillion in GSE MBS and hundreds of billions in corporate debt.

When SCHW surpassed U.S. Bancorp in size in 2021, you knew that SCHW’s leadership had gotten lost. 

BLND is generating operating leverage via cost reductions, another way of saying that management is slowly winding up the business.

What happens to the Trump Trade and the broader equity markets if the FOMC passes on a December rate cut?

Our bet is that the Bessent "3-3-3" plan likewise will be a failure and that the Fed will be forced to restart QE sooner rather than later

The asset returns of BOH are substandard vs its peers. We cannot discern any reason for this save management lapses.

As a practical matter, no Fed chairman or governor can function without the support of the White House and the US Treasury.

Notice that SQ co-founder Jack Dorsey styles himself as "block head" in the corp roster, a silly affectation that does not help the stock

Could President elect Donald Trump be facing a maxi market correction before inauguration day?

The banking industry has segmented into a handful of above-average performers and JPM is the largest leader of these "winners"

The changes that are going to occur in Washington over the next four years will be dramatically different than during Trump I.

It’s time for the Fed to get smart on duration risk before circumstances create another money market crisis. 

You can tell lies and damn lies about the idea of releasing Fannie and Freddie, but the SEC and FINRA cannot and will not say a word. 

NYCB and the unsold rent-stabilized assets left over from the failure of SBNY are two little surprises waiting for the next POTUS.

Last year, when a lot of people were predicting the demise of SCHW, we told our readers to calm down.