top of page
The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance

Powell Overshoots the Runway; Update: American Express & Charles Schwab
Last year, when a lot of people were predicting the demise of SCHW, we told our readers to calm down.
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 23, 20247 min read
707 views

Update: Citigroup, Bank America and Goldman Sachs
How is Goldman going to extricate itself from this profoundly unattractive business with AAPL without destroying Apple Card?
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 18, 20247 min read
458 views

Will Rohit Chopra Kill Basel III? Shrinking NIM at JPM and WFC
In opposing Basel III, Chopra is doing the bidding of Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) but big banks are very happy to have no rule at all.
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 14, 20245 min read
642 views

Citigroup + (Cenlar - Black Knight) = ?
The Citi decision to exit mortgage servicing perhaps made sense in 2017, but today not so much.
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 9, 20247 min read
416 views

GSE Release Under Trump? Post-Rate Cut Margin Calls??
Why should a private Fannie Mae be a 20% risk weight under Basel III, but PFSI or Mr. Cooper (COOP) are 100%?
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 22, 20248 min read
486 views

IRA Bank Book Q3 2024 Industry Survey
The Q3 interest rate rally still leaves the industry with a negative
capital position since the average securities yield is only 3%
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 16, 20242 min read
369 views

Bank of Nova Scotia + KeyCorp = ??
If you were really, REALLY going to do mortgage warehouse lending in today's market, KEY would be the better platform, not BNS.
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 13, 20246 min read
548 views


Market Volatility and Loan Defaults
The market tantrum which began on Friday was largely over by the market close on the following Tuesday.
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 8, 20246 min read
1,194 views

Update: New York Community Bank & Mr. Cooper
Joe Otting does not seem to understand the value of the Flagstar correspondent lending and mortgage servicing business...
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 27, 20248 min read
635 views

Update: CapitalOne Financial & PennyMac Financial Services
Of note, PFSI has been growing share in wholesale, a direct challenge to UWMC
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 25, 20245 min read
341 views

Will Donald Trump Release Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac?? Really?
If JPM, PFSI or UWMC want to pay the government to wrap conventional MBS in a “AA+” sovereign rating, why should the Treasury say no?
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 21, 20249 min read
3,890 views


Capital Confusion at Ginnie Mae & Mortgage Servicing Rights
Ginnie Mae would rather have issuers raise the NPV of the MSR in cash today than take the price risk of holding the whole MSR through time.
R. Christopher Whalen
Jun 26, 20246 min read
648 views

Update: BMO + Bank of the West = ?
BMO arguably has the weakest reserve position among the large Canadian banks....
R. Christopher Whalen
Jun 17, 20246 min read
988 views


Will Credit Risk Transfer Save the Banks? Are MSRs Overvalued?
How much in synthetic CRT transactions will be done in 2024? Our best guess is many hundreds of billions globally...
R. Christopher Whalen
Jun 12, 20249 min read
768 views

MBA Aftermath; Profile: Merchants Bancorp (MBIN)
When NYC is forced to recognize reality, it will already be too late to avoid another fiscal crisis.
R. Christopher Whalen
May 22, 20247 min read
644 views


Joe Biden Goes Subprime; Should Citi Buy NYCB/Flagstar?
Citi is a subprime lender. They should be directly involved in government lending.
R. Christopher Whalen
May 20, 20246 min read
990 views


Yellen FSOC Punts on Mortgage Servicers; WGA Bottom 25 Banks
Are there bank bargains down in the cellar waiting to be discovered?
R. Christopher Whalen
May 13, 20247 min read
910 views


Freddie Mac Buying HELOCs? Really Meredith? | UWMC & Disappearing MSRs
We think Whitney’s comments about a surge in new lending from Freddie Mac buying home equity loans are poorly considered
R. Christopher Whalen
May 10, 202410 min read
3,661 views


Portfolio Update & Mortgage Survivors
The survivors in mortgage finance optimize operations around purchasing loans from brokers/ correspondents, and direct to consumer (DTC)
R. Christopher Whalen
May 8, 20246 min read
475 views

TCBI v Ginnie Mae Goes to Trial | Outlook for Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance
McCargo's actions and the fact that the case has not been dismissed in its entirety is very unhelpful given current market conditions.
R. Christopher Whalen
Apr 21, 20247 min read
1,282 views
Christopher Whalen
bottom of page