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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance


Four Big Risks Ahead in 2025
Indeed, if President Trump wants to be rid of Jerome Powell he can simply impeach him for violations of the Federal Reserve Act
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 27, 202411 min read
850 views


Liquidity & Rates Fall as Trump Trades Beckon
What does the upsurge in repo rates at the end of September suggest? None of the media who supposedly cover the Fed seem able to ask.
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 23, 20247 min read
449 views

The Trump Trade & Sovereign Ratings
What happens to the Trump Trade and the broader equity markets if the FOMC passes on a December rate cut?
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 4, 20246 min read
602 views


Fed Fiddles as Liquidity Risk Looms
Our bet is that the Bessent "3-3-3" plan likewise will be a failure and that the Fed will be forced to restart QE sooner rather than later
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 26, 20248 min read
1,215 views

Profile: Bank of Hawaii & QE
The asset returns of BOH are substandard vs its peers. We cannot discern any reason for this save management lapses.
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 20, 20246 min read
439 views

Trump, Deficits & Credit Default Swaps
As a practical matter, no Fed chairman or governor can function without the support of the White House and the US Treasury.
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 18, 20247 min read
956 views


Fiat Currencies, GSEs & Presidents
Could President elect Donald Trump be facing a maxi market correction before inauguration day?
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 13, 20246 min read
880 views

Fed Duration Trap Threatens Banks, SOMA
It’s time for the Fed to get smart on duration risk before circumstances create another money market crisis.Â
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 1, 20248 min read
1,096 views

Is Trump Bullish for Interest Rates? Pump & Dump for GSE and Fintech Stocks
You can tell lies and damn lies about the idea of releasing Fannie and Freddie, but the SEC and FINRA cannot and will not say a word.Â
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 30, 20246 min read
811 views

Housing Finance Outlook; PennyMac, Mr. Cooper & NYCB/Flagstar
NYCB and the unsold rent-stabilized assets left over from the failure of SBNY are two little surprises waiting for the next POTUS.
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 28, 20249 min read
739 views


Hurricanes, Insurance & the Cost of Risk
Many homes in FL no longer have adequate home owners insurance much less federal flood insurance.
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 10, 20246 min read
931 views


Jim Rickards: The Treasury Should Buy Gold
The Treasury should begin to buy gold again to demonstrate that the dollar is real.
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 30, 20247 min read
2,244 views

Update: Our Top Five Ideas
How will the sudden shift in Fed policy impact financials? Are we headed for a recession?
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 24, 20246 min read
654 views


Powell FOMC Goes Big and Political
If President Donald Trump wins in November, he’ll be more than justified in demanding Jerome Powell’s immediate resignation.
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 19, 20244 min read
987 views


Powell FOMC Folds on Inflation
As the federal debt rises, bank reserves must rise as well and with it inflation.
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 9, 20249 min read
1,522 views


Banks: Passive Strategies Lag Active Management
In the third quarter of publishing the Indices, so far picking quality banks seems to matter more than following the passive ETF herd
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 4, 20245 min read
469 views

Universal Banks: Should TD Buy Schwab & Sell Its US Operation?
SCHW needs to take advantage of their strong operating leverage and repair some needless damage done during COVID by inept bank management.
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 25, 20247 min read
726 views

Wine, Grapes & Inflation; WGA Bank Top 50 Index Q3 2024
The WGA Bank Top 50 is, well, the top half of the population, but far better in quality than the bottom quartile.
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 5, 20245 min read
659 views


Yellen's FSOC: Housing Policy Dreams vs Mortgage Market Reality
Yellen's proposal for a backstop is merely a canard to help Treasury avoid another fiasco next time a Ginnie Mae issuer fails
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 30, 20246 min read
717 views


Update: Pinnacle Financial & Synthetic Credit Risk Transfer
We hear in the channel that banks with festering multifamily exposures are paying north of 10% for similar CRT transactions.
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 18, 20246 min read
821 views
Christopher Whalen
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