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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance


Fear & Loathing on Wall Street: GS, MS, AMP, SCHW, RJF, SF
Some of the largest banks by assets have dropped from the top quartile into the bottom half of the distribution for the top 100 banks
R. Christopher Whalen
6 days ago8 min read
347 views


How Will Consumer Lenders Fare in a Serious Recession?
Many voices in the media and elsewhere have been predicting an economic slump since 2023. Didn’t happen, but 2025 is very different.
R. Christopher Whalen
Mar 2811 min read
410 views


Memo to Bill Pulte and Scott Turner: How to Make Housing More Affordable
A more efficient mortgage backed securities market benefits everyone by lowering mortgage rates and making home ownership more affordable.
R. Christopher Whalen
Mar 256 min read
630 views

Logan Riffs on SOMA; XYZ and SYF Say No Recession Yet
Like 2023 and 2024, the year 2025 may end up being relatively stable, yet investors remain worried about stealth externalities.
R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 258 min read
236 views


Trump Tariffs Drive Auto Industry Consolidation
If Thomas Edison were alive today, would he tell Elon Musk to make electric cars with batteries?
R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 246 min read
321 views

HOOD: Is the Bloom off the Rose?
And just why do financial firms like HOOD, SoFi Technologies (SOFI)Â and Block (XYZ)Â talk about EBITDA in their investor materials?
R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 134 min read
261 views

Trump, Musk & the Dollar
The real threat of tariffs announced by Trump is not inflation, but rather a LT decline in the dollar as the global reserve currency
R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 46 min read
510 views

Is Ameriprise Overvalued? Is PennyMac Cheap vs the REITs?
We think it is notable that AMP has underperformed the other members of the group other than SCHW over the past year.
R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 37 min read
178 views

SoFi Technology Gets No Respect
Like many names in the fintech space, growing profits and earnings are usually an indication that a stock is exiting max upside period
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 274 min read
229 views


Big Losses in Commercial Real Estate & PE in 2025?
Private equity portfolio companies are about 10 times as likely to go bankrupt as non-PE-owned companies.
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 136 min read
1,137 views

Taxing Crypto? And Just Where Is That Consumer Recession?
Yes, net loss rates in percentage terms post default are back up to 2010 levels, but the dollar volume of net charge-offs remains very low.
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 58 min read
412 views

Update: Top Bank Asset Managers
As and when GS can exit the loss leading credit card relationship with AAPL, the performance of the business should improve significantly.
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 30, 20248 min read
231 views


Fed Fiddles as Liquidity Risk Looms
Our bet is that the Bessent "3-3-3" plan likewise will be a failure and that the Fed will be forced to restart QE sooner rather than later
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 26, 20248 min read
1,214 views

Update: Block Inc, Nu Holdings & Guild Holdings
Notice that SQ co-founder Jack Dorsey styles himself as "block head" in the corp roster, a silly affectation that does not help the stock
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 15, 20247 min read
415 views

Financials: Post-Trump Victory Notes
The changes that are going to occur in Washington over the next four years will be dramatically different than during Trump I.
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 6, 20245 min read
1,106 views

Housing Finance Outlook; PennyMac, Mr. Cooper & NYCB/Flagstar
NYCB and the unsold rent-stabilized assets left over from the failure of SBNY are two little surprises waiting for the next POTUS.
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 28, 20249 min read
739 views

Powell Overshoots the Runway; Update: American Express & Charles Schwab
Last year, when a lot of people were predicting the demise of SCHW, we told our readers to calm down.
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 23, 20247 min read
707 views


Will BRICS Topple the Dollar?
Whenever you hear the magic words "blockchain" and "digital tokens," it's a good guess that whatever follows is nonsense.
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 21, 20245 min read
711 views

The Bull Case for Large Banks
If you believe that there is no recession coming in 2025, what is the logical response from an informed investment professional?
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 1, 20246 min read
609 views

Update: Our Top Five Ideas
How will the sudden shift in Fed policy impact financials? Are we headed for a recession?
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 24, 20246 min read
654 views
Christopher Whalen
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