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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance
![FOMC Doubles Down on Market Risk](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_cc5bfc11f2e34f14882ad4ce2531c264~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_430,h_286,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_cc5bfc11f2e34f14882ad4ce2531c264~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Mar 23, 20236 min read
FOMC Doubles Down on Market Risk
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell are another bank failure or two away from returning to the private sector.
2,927 views
![Winners & Losers in the New Gilded Age](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_e2816715f2e146019ba01263ef8f7fc7~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_e2816715f2e146019ba01263ef8f7fc7~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Mar 21, 20235 min read
Winners & Losers in the New Gilded Age
Mark Twain called Washington ''the grand old benevolent National Asylum for the Helpless'' in his classic "The Gilded Age."
1,766 views
![Mark-to-Market on Bank America; Update on Credit Suisse & Guild Holdings](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_d99ff1ca398d4393bfede0ff18b446c7~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_d99ff1ca398d4393bfede0ff18b446c7~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Mar 17, 20238 min read
Mark-to-Market on Bank America; Update on Credit Suisse & Guild Holdings
We recently added Western Alliance (WAL) and GHLD to our portfolio
2,719 views
![QE & the Yellen Banking Crisis](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_be5ed5977ef24858b80f412a5a9f946c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_be5ed5977ef24858b80f412a5a9f946c~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Mar 14, 20238 min read
QE & the Yellen Banking Crisis
By any reasonable standard, Janet Yellen should have already resigned, but not in the strange world of Washington.
3,157 views
![Who Killed Silicon Valley Bank?; The IRA Bank Book Q1 2023](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_a6a426ca347840ae92b81d563c7d8ad9~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_a6a426ca347840ae92b81d563c7d8ad9~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Mar 11, 20236 min read
Who Killed Silicon Valley Bank?; The IRA Bank Book Q1 2023
Last week not a single member of the Big Media managed to ask Fed Chairman Jerome Powell about the state of the US banking system
8,998 views
![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/4d2ad5a6300843d1bb5952efa6729423.jpg/v1/fill/w_250,h_250,fp_0.50_0.50,q_30,blur_30,enc_auto/4d2ad5a6300843d1bb5952efa6729423.webp)
![RKT Sinks, UWMC Wobbles, RITM Treads Water & Goldman Doubles Down](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/4d2ad5a6300843d1bb5952efa6729423.jpg/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/4d2ad5a6300843d1bb5952efa6729423.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Mar 2, 20236 min read
RKT Sinks, UWMC Wobbles, RITM Treads Water & Goldman Doubles Down
GS is a securities dealer first and foremost and has no comparative advantage as a bank.
899 views
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![QT & Powell's Liquidity Trap](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/nsplsh_a4451b1880504a769c02553f0e81f800~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/nsplsh_a4451b1880504a769c02553f0e81f800~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 27, 20236 min read
QT & Powell's Liquidity Trap
The Federal Open Market Committee has arguably lost control of monetary policy and has placed America's banks in grave risk.
8,681 views
![Is Stripe Worth $55 Billion? Really?](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_f86e3cc66dba46f59c0d78c0db779bbe~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_f86e3cc66dba46f59c0d78c0db779bbe~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 21, 20236 min read
Is Stripe Worth $55 Billion? Really?
CEO Patrick Collison is guiding investors and the media to a $200 million profit in 2023. Selective disclosure??
559 views
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![Ginnie Mae - Credit Suisse = ? A Biden MSR Tax? Does BKI + ICE = < 2?](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/nsplsh_b0734bd6a2f34ad0b509bd02b95e9727~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/nsplsh_b0734bd6a2f34ad0b509bd02b95e9727~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 13, 20238 min read
Ginnie Mae - Credit Suisse = ? A Biden MSR Tax? Does BKI + ICE = < 2?
Our view is that the BKI purchase is a horrible deal for ICE shareholders, a value killer of epic proportions
1,050 views
![Goldman Sachs + Bank of New York Mellon = ?](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_3d170ff0ead5412ab22e0f91ef5c16e4~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_3d170ff0ead5412ab22e0f91ef5c16e4~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Feb 6, 20237 min read
Goldman Sachs + Bank of New York Mellon = ?
The risk-adjusted return on capital for BK is negative and probably lower than Goldman, the highest risk large US bank
1,244 views
![Why the FT is Wrong About Ally Financial](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_e41f1631bd0a4278a198f4869c93451d~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_e41f1631bd0a4278a198f4869c93451d~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 30, 20237 min read
Why the FT is Wrong About Ally Financial
Ally is still more finance company than bank and really has no core deposit base worthy of the name.
994 views
![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/nsplsh_5556383145306f58585751~mv2_d_3648_5472_s_4_2.jpg/v1/fill/w_250,h_250,fp_0.50_0.50,q_30,blur_30,enc_auto/nsplsh_5556383145306f58585751~mv2_d_3648_5472_s_4_2.webp)
![Update: Bank of America](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/nsplsh_5556383145306f58585751~mv2_d_3648_5472_s_4_2.jpg/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/nsplsh_5556383145306f58585751~mv2_d_3648_5472_s_4_2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 23, 20236 min read
Update: Bank of America
We hear in the channel that regulators are making their views of future loss probabilities very clear in guidance to the top banks
536 views
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![Goldman Drops Restatement; Jamie Dimon Drops the Ball on "Frank"](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/nsplsh_5858714e73626f72636a55~mv2_d_3695_4619_s_4_2.jpg/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/nsplsh_5858714e73626f72636a55~mv2_d_3695_4619_s_4_2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 16, 20237 min read
Goldman Drops Restatement; Jamie Dimon Drops the Ball on "Frank"
The Fed’s de facto embrace of inflation encourages misallocation of economic resources on a grand scale....
750 views
![Update: JPMorganChase & Wells Fargo](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_d87c8cceb2bb485399583fa51d9946ae~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_d87c8cceb2bb485399583fa51d9946ae~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 13, 20236 min read
Update: JPMorganChase & Wells Fargo
But nothing lasts forever in mortgage land or in financials. Stay tuned and pay attention to LT rates and spreads...
498 views
![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/nsplsh_ddc7263f10fa428f9b0dd6a8f46460bf~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_250,h_250,fp_0.50_0.50,q_30,blur_30,enc_auto/nsplsh_ddc7263f10fa428f9b0dd6a8f46460bf~mv2.webp)
![Update: Truist, Charles Schwab, U.S. Bancorp & PNC Financial](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/nsplsh_ddc7263f10fa428f9b0dd6a8f46460bf~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/nsplsh_ddc7263f10fa428f9b0dd6a8f46460bf~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Jan 4, 20237 min read
Update: Truist, Charles Schwab, U.S. Bancorp & PNC Financial
The largest banks continue to serve as a haven for refugees from crypto fraud schemes and the fintech swoon, but are not cheap
770 views
![GNMA, FNMA Seize Assets from Reverse Mortgage Funding Estate](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_eb2488830c86492db5f9ad9ff13a61dc~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_eb2488830c86492db5f9ad9ff13a61dc~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 22, 20226 min read
GNMA, FNMA Seize Assets from Reverse Mortgage Funding Estate
The US government now owns the largest reverse lender in the country.
1,416 views
![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_80183de623374ef29c976d1babcbd91b~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_250,h_250,fp_0.50_0.50,q_30,blur_30,enc_auto/b0226b_80183de623374ef29c976d1babcbd91b~mv2.webp)
![Outliers: CapitalOne, Goldman Sachs & Citigroup](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_80183de623374ef29c976d1babcbd91b~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/b0226b_80183de623374ef29c976d1babcbd91b~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 20, 20225 min read
Outliers: CapitalOne, Goldman Sachs & Citigroup
Like most nonbanks (and Goldman Sachs is predominantly a nonbank), volumes are falling and funding costs are rising.
568 views
![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/nsplsh_5a39447334773134316934~mv2_d_5304_7952_s_4_2.jpg/v1/fill/w_250,h_250,fp_0.50_0.50,q_30,blur_30,enc_auto/nsplsh_5a39447334773134316934~mv2_d_5304_7952_s_4_2.webp)
![The Year That Was: 2022](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/nsplsh_5a39447334773134316934~mv2_d_5304_7952_s_4_2.jpg/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/nsplsh_5a39447334773134316934~mv2_d_5304_7952_s_4_2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 16, 20226 min read
The Year That Was: 2022
Many in the Buy Side chorus are looking forward to lower interest rates, but we are concerned that next year could really be about solvency
627 views
![Bank M2M Losses Surge in Q3 to $347 Billion](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_74cdb5c520ea4ea084c7326599024cff~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_74cdb5c520ea4ea084c7326599024cff~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Dec 6, 20221 min read
Bank M2M Losses Surge in Q3 to $347 Billion
Rapidly rising interest rates in Q3 2022 pushed down the tangible capital for the US banking industry to negative $1.9 trillion
519 views
![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/nsplsh_356d4239486e646d73666b~mv2_d_5000_3328_s_4_2.jpg/v1/fill/w_250,h_250,fp_0.50_0.50,q_30,blur_30,enc_auto/nsplsh_356d4239486e646d73666b~mv2_d_5000_3328_s_4_2.webp)
![Is JPMorgan Chase Insolvent?](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/nsplsh_356d4239486e646d73666b~mv2_d_5000_3328_s_4_2.jpg/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/nsplsh_356d4239486e646d73666b~mv2_d_5000_3328_s_4_2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Nov 28, 20226 min read
Is JPMorgan Chase Insolvent?
The US banking industry has been rendered insolvent by the Federal Open Market Committee
8,032 views
Christopher Whalen
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