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The Institutional Risk Analyst
© 2003-2025 | Whalen Global Advisors LLC All Rights Reserved in All Media | ISSN 2692-1812
Banks | Markets | Finance
![Powell Overshoots the Runway; Update: American Express & Charles Schwab](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_53da628c6e634d18897afb501125c925~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_286,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_53da628c6e634d18897afb501125c925~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 23, 20247 min read
Powell Overshoots the Runway; Update: American Express & Charles Schwab
Last year, when a lot of people were predicting the demise of SCHW, we told our readers to calm down.
705 views
![Update: Citigroup, Bank America and Goldman Sachs](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_085e7489b0c0441fbadbcead1659f3bd~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_220,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_085e7489b0c0441fbadbcead1659f3bd~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 18, 20247 min read
Update: Citigroup, Bank America and Goldman Sachs
How is Goldman going to extricate itself from this profoundly unattractive business with AAPL without destroying Apple Card?
455 views
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![Should TD Bank Rethink US Retail?](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/nsplsh_6cc72750d79c40d480e2b4d80341d258~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/nsplsh_6cc72750d79c40d480e2b4d80341d258~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 16, 20246 min read
Should TD Bank Rethink US Retail?
WFC is not even out of dodge yet, but TD has cut off the fingers of one hand in yakuza style and is now headed for years of misery
646 views
![Will Rohit Chopra Kill Basel III? Shrinking NIM at JPM and WFC](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_217,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 14, 20245 min read
Will Rohit Chopra Kill Basel III? Shrinking NIM at JPM and WFC
In opposing Basel III, Chopra is doing the bidding of Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)Â but big banks are very happy to have no rule at all.
642 views
![Citigroup + (Cenlar - Black Knight) = ?](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_217,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 9, 20247 min read
Citigroup + (Cenlar - Black Knight) = ?
The Citi decision to exit mortgage servicing perhaps made sense in 2017, but today not so much.
415 views
![The Bull Case for Large Banks](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_217,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Oct 1, 20246 min read
The Bull Case for Large Banks
If you believe that there is no recession coming in 2025, what is the logical response from an informed investment professional?
607 views
![IRA Bank Book Q3 2024 Industry Survey](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_217,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 16, 20242 min read
IRA Bank Book Q3 2024 Industry Survey
The Q3 interest rate rally still leaves the industry with a negative
capital position since the average securities yield is only 3%
369 views
![WGA Bank Top 100+ | Large Banks Retreat, Small Banks Rise](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_217,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 11, 20245 min read
WGA Bank Top 100+ | Large Banks Retreat, Small Banks Rise
The big story nobody is discussing is the fact that large banks led by JPM, BAC and TFC continue to sell off briskly
425 views
![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/11062b_0243c904598248eeab154995530f1250~mv2.jpeg/v1/fill/w_250,h_250,fp_0.50_0.50,q_30,blur_30,enc_auto/11062b_0243c904598248eeab154995530f1250~mv2.webp)
![Powell FOMC Folds on Inflation](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/11062b_0243c904598248eeab154995530f1250~mv2.jpeg/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/11062b_0243c904598248eeab154995530f1250~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 9, 20249 min read
Powell FOMC Folds on Inflation
As the federal debt rises, bank reserves must rise as well and with it inflation.
1,520 views
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![Banks: Passive Strategies Lag Active Management](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/nsplsh_55635173584b594e674849~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/nsplsh_55635173584b594e674849~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 4, 20245 min read
Banks: Passive Strategies Lag Active Management
In the third quarter of publishing the Indices, so far picking quality banks seems to matter more than following the passive ETF herd
469 views
![Recession? Consumer Lenders: AX, AXP, ALLY, Barclays, COF, SOFI, SYF](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_217,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Sep 2, 202412 min read
Recession? Consumer Lenders: AX, AXP, ALLY, Barclays, COF, SOFI, SYF
Axos continues to rebound after the bear raid by Hindenburg Research. AX ranked 18th in the WGA Bank Top Index in Q3 2024 vs 98th for SOFI
721 views
![Universal Banks: Should TD Buy Schwab & Sell Its US Operation?](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_217,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 25, 20247 min read
Universal Banks: Should TD Buy Schwab & Sell Its US Operation?
SCHW needs to take advantage of their strong operating leverage and repair some needless damage done during COVID by inept bank management.
723 views
![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/bdcd5ee9342a4525b2a4dc32984f2844.jpg/v1/fill/w_250,h_250,fp_0.50_0.50,q_30,blur_30,enc_auto/bdcd5ee9342a4525b2a4dc32984f2844.webp)
![New & Old Names in Nonbank Finance](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/bdcd5ee9342a4525b2a4dc32984f2844.jpg/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/bdcd5ee9342a4525b2a4dc32984f2844.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 21, 20247 min read
New & Old Names in Nonbank Finance
In dollar terms, the moves in 2023 were tiny vs the post March rally in 2020.
478 views
![The Top Seven Banks: JPM, BAC, C, WFC, USB, PNC & TFC](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_217,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 18, 20249 min read
The Top Seven Banks: JPM, BAC, C, WFC, USB, PNC & TFC
Banks lose money every single day by holding onto a below market security from the 2019-2021 period.
693 views
![Bank of Nova Scotia + KeyCorp = ??](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_217,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 13, 20246 min read
Bank of Nova Scotia + KeyCorp = ??
If you were really, REALLY going to do mortgage warehouse lending in today's market, KEY would be the better platform, not BNS.
548 views
![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/11062b_19c084cbb222403093fe757143969ce3~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_250,h_250,fp_0.50_0.50,q_30,blur_30,enc_auto/11062b_19c084cbb222403093fe757143969ce3~mv2.webp)
![The Powell Hedge Fund Drives Private Market Instability](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/11062b_19c084cbb222403093fe757143969ce3~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/11062b_19c084cbb222403093fe757143969ce3~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 12, 20247 min read
The Powell Hedge Fund Drives Private Market Instability
In 2019, the FOMC essentially nationalized the US money markets, eliminating private price discovery for a representation of a market.
879 views
![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/nsplsh_f0691152d1ce4a308ed1fe53ed60a57c~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_250,h_250,fp_0.50_0.50,q_30,blur_30,enc_auto/nsplsh_f0691152d1ce4a308ed1fe53ed60a57c~mv2.webp)
![Market Volatility and Loan Defaults](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/nsplsh_f0691152d1ce4a308ed1fe53ed60a57c~mv2.jpg/v1/fill/w_436,h_327,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/nsplsh_f0691152d1ce4a308ed1fe53ed60a57c~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 8, 20246 min read
Market Volatility and Loan Defaults
The market tantrum which began on Friday was largely over by the market close on the following Tuesday.
1,186 views
![Wine, Grapes & Inflation; WGA Bank Top 50 Index Q3 2024](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_217,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 5, 20245 min read
Wine, Grapes & Inflation; WGA Bank Top 50 Index Q3 2024
The WGA Bank Top 50 is, well, the top half of the population, but far better in quality than the bottom quartile.
657 views
![Stocks Swoon, Retail Credit Rises: PYPL, SQ & ARES](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_217,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Aug 2, 20248 min read
Stocks Swoon, Retail Credit Rises: PYPL, SQ & ARES
The rotation away from institutional investors to retail funding source for the $1.7 trillion direct lending market is an ominous sign
603 views
![Update: New York Community Bank & Mr. Cooper](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_436,h_217,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/b0226b_2bc8337f0f7841ee837db17b9a3a070c~mv2.webp)
R. Christopher Whalen
Jul 27, 20248 min read
Update: New York Community Bank & Mr. Cooper
Joe Otting does not seem to understand the value of the Flagstar correspondent lending and mortgage servicing business...
630 views
Christopher Whalen
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